March 29, 2023

Abstract: As Taiwan’s sense of independence has grown over the years, the Taiwanese people’s hostility to “one country, two systems” is understandable. At the same time, the Taiwanese people have been misled into thinking that the mainlanders want to impose “one country, two systems” over Taiwan. The Taiwanese believe that rejecting “one country, two systems” …

China’s Unifying Plan:(9) Mainland and Taiwan Lost the Intersection of Two Systems Read More »

  Abstract: On 10 August 2022, the central government of the mainland issued a white paper on “The Taiwan Question and the Cause of China’s Reunification in the New Era”. This is essentially the latest version of China’s decision on the future of Taiwan. This version of the white paper essentially deprives China of the …

China’s Unifying Plan:(8) Evolution of China’s Two-system Proposal Read More »

  Abstract: If the United States and its alliance decide to use military means to respond to the challenges posed by China’s unified actions, Japan and South Korea will inevitably be involved. And they will be the main or key force in the early stages of the conflict and in low-level conflicts. Given that South …

China’s Unifying Plan:(6) Evolution and Stability: Geopolitics around China Read More »

  First Submitted 3 Oct. 2022 Updated Released 29 March 2023 24 Feb. 2024   Abstract: Europe will inevitably be deeply affected by the Asian war in 2026. The dilemma for Europe is whether to intervene in this war or to flee from it. As an American colony and the leading group of the American-led …

China’s Unifying Plan:(7A) Interaction between Europe, China, and USA Read More »

  Abstract: For China’s military operations in the Taiwan Strait in 2026, the US alliance can have multiple response plans. But any plan that does not include a military response cannot effectively placate public opinion in the United States and its allies, cannot effectively maintain the authority of the existing imperial order, and cannot effectively …

China’s Unifying Plan:(4) Imagined Sino-US Conflict Scenario Read More »

  First Submitted 3 Oct. 2022 Updated Released 29 March 2023 29 Feb. 2024   Abstract: In response to China’s unifying actions across the Taiwan Strait, the United States theoretically has six sets of response plans. Two sets of preventive plans and four sets of post-event plans. Preventive, whether it is a pre-negotiation plan or a pre-emptive containment …

China’s Unifying Plan:(3) USA’s Options Read More »

  Abstract: If China launches military operations across the Taiwan Strait in 2026, it will be difficult for the United States to respond appropriately. Mainland China has the military advantage of choosing the battlefield and the political advantage of choosing the time to fight. Accordingly, it is difficult for the United States to take effective …

China’s Unifying Plan: (5) Risk Assessment of Total Sina-US War Read More »

Abstract: China’s actions to unify Taiwan are essentially a major challenge to the existing US imperial order. Any assessment that underestimates this nature will lead to a serious expectation bias. The consequences of China’s unification actions will actually weaken the US-led, Europe-centred imperial order. It is reasonable to expect that the United States and Europe …

China’s Unifying Plan: (2) Comprehensive Hostility Context of USA Read More »

  First Submitted 3 Oct. 2022 Updated Released 29 March 2023 26 Feb. 2024   Abstract: There is no clear information on the completion date of China’s plan to unify Taiwan, but many indications are that China’s unification plan was formulated in 2012. In 2013, the Chinese president publicly and formally pledged that Taiwan’s reunification …

China’s Unifying Plan: (1) Shaped by 2012, Works in 2026. Read More »